Guerin Catholic
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #15
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #5
Noblesville Regional Rank #4
Noblesville Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 14th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.4%
Top 10 at State Finals 10.8%
Advance to State Finals 43.6%
Advance to Semi-State 69.5%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Circle City Conference Hamilton County State Preview Indiana All-Catholic Flashrock Invitational Culver Invitational Noblesville JV Invitational Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/20 8/27 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/5 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 307 368 332 587 323 350 348 823 385 335 288 309
Team Adjusted Rating 368 332 320 323 350 348 307 343 335 288 309
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Circle City Conference Hamilton County State Preview Indiana All-Catholic Flashrock Invitational Culver Invitational Noblesville JV Invitational Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
9  Bridget Gallagher 12 18:11 18:44 18:27 18:53 18:40 18:29 18:37 18:27 18:13 18:11 18:03
96  Bailey Freese 11 19:45 19:48 19:29 20:12 19:27 19:40 19:45 20:08 19:49 19:37
186  Katherine Kolb 9 20:18 20:53 20:40 20:16 20:51 20:30 20:34 20:27 20:07 20:24
223  Rosie Barrett 12 20:27 20:54 20:31 20:19 20:15 20:37 21:19 20:25 20:21 20:18
323  Keira Hines 9 20:51 21:19 21:15 21:00 21:22 20:51 21:09 21:19 20:39 21:06
363  Claire Milam 11 21:03 21:06 21:08 20:50 21:01 20:56 21:54 20:57 20:58 21:01
373  Grace Boivin 11 21:04 21:44 21:04 21:16 20:53 21:02 21:00 21:10 21:01 21:09 21:06
407  Camille Morrow 10 21:12 21:35 21:15 21:21 21:16 21:05 21:07 21:14
587  Isabella Galvin 9 21:40 21:30 21:57 21:43 22:08 21:13 22:06 21:16
607  Ada Mertes 9 21:43 21:43
623  Ella Smith 10 21:48 22:16 21:46 21:54 21:26 21:44 21:46 22:03 21:50
630  Sophia Galvin 10 21:49 21:44 21:42 22:56 21:15 21:54 22:02 21:16 21:57
656  Eva Parr 10 21:53 22:36 21:28 21:46 21:42 21:56 21:42 22:13 22:19
921  Madison Scheidler 12 22:32 21:32 22:25 22:38 22:16 22:34 22:24 22:54 22:34
988  Mallory Ryan 9 22:40 22:46 23:00 22:17 23:10 22:44 22:42 22:13
1,205  Melaina Eckhart 10 23:09 23:33 23:00 22:42 23:27
1,233  Anna Hoshaw 12 23:14 21:07 22:46 24:23 22:57
1,266  Kadie Coon 10 23:19 23:54 24:05 23:51 23:27 23:23 22:58 22:14
1,303  Kalen Moe 11 23:23 22:40 24:00 23:33 23:30 23:19 22:50
1,366  Annie Shedlock 11 23:30 24:01 23:48 23:56 22:58 24:05 23:42 23:20 23:04
Kyndall Osborne 12 23:35 22:52 23:17 23:37 23:23 23:20 24:16
Lucy Esposito 9 23:57 23:27 24:11 24:26 24:25 23:37 24:01 23:37




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 43.6% 12.8 349 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.3 2.0 3.0 3.5 4.1 5.0 4.7 5.4 4.7 3.4 2.7 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 69.5% 6.2 213 0.1 0.6 10.0 17.4 15.5 11.6 7.3 4.1 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 5.0 146 0.1 2.1 38.8 28.4 20.0 8.7 1.8 0.0
Sectionals 100% 3.4 84 1.1 60.1 38.8



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bridget Gallagher 100% 8.8 0.0 0.4 1.3 2.9 5.8 8.6 10.3 11.6 11.0 10.0 8.4 6.9 5.6 4.3 3.2 2.4 1.8 1.4 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Bailey Freese 43.7% 74.6 0.0 0.0 0.2% 2.6%
Katherine Kolb 43.6% 123.0 0.0% 0.0%
Rosie Barrett 43.6% 133.9 0.0% 0.0%
Keira Hines 43.6% 161.0 0.0% 0.0%
Claire Milam 43.6% 172.2 0.0% 0.0%
Grace Boivin 43.6% 173.4 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bridget Gallagher 100% 3.7 0.2 3.9 21.8 34.7 19.3 10.5 5.4 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Bailey Freese 99.4% 38.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.7 1.9 98.1% 99.0%
Katherine Kolb 79.1% 64.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 31.5% 51.1%
Rosie Barrett 72.5% 72.5 0.0 9.8% 29.7%
Keira Hines 69.5% 93.7 0.2% 3.3%
Claire Milam 69.5% 104.1 0.0% 0.7%
Grace Boivin 69.5% 105.1 0.0% 0.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bridget Gallagher 100% 3.5 0.1 3.7 24.4 44.7 21.0 4.6 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Bailey Freese 100% 25.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.6 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.8 2.3 2.7 3.3 3.7 4.7 5.0 4.9 5.9 5.8 100.0%
Katherine Kolb 100% 35.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 100.0%
Rosie Barrett 100% 37.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 100.0%
Keira Hines 100% 43.8 100.0%
Claire Milam 100% 48.2 100.0%
Grace Boivin 100% 48.8 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bridget Gallagher 1.0 92.7 6.1 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Bailey Freese 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.9 2.6 3.7 5.6 6.6 7.9 8.0 7.5 8.6 9.1 9.3 11.6 8.1 4.3 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
Katherine Kolb 20.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.4 2.3 4.1 9.8 14.8 20.0 21.7 14.1 6.0 2.3
Rosie Barrett 22.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.9 1.5 3.6 7.9 14.0 21.4 23.3 15.2 7.8
Keira Hines 25.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.3 6.6 15.6 21.4
Claire Milam 27.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 4.1 9.5
Grace Boivin 27.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 3.6 7.3